Early NFL lines often shift a full point or more — like a favorite moving from...
https://lorenzosnewblogs.nexorafield.com/posts/how-do-i-stop-treating-every-new-stat-like-gospel-in-september
Early NFL lines often shift a full point or more — like a favorite moving from -3 to -4.5 — because initial numbers come with shaky info. Jumping in too soon means risking worse odds